ОПТИМИЗАЦИЯ ФАБРИКИ! – #6 AUTOMATION EMPIRE ПРОХОЖДЕНИЕ
Automation and anxiety
The stagnation of median wages in many Western countries is cited as evidence that automation is already having an effect-though it is hard to disentangle the impact of offshoring, which has also moved many routine jobs to low-wage countries in the developing world. In the past technology has always ended up creating more jobs than it destroys. Rather than destroying jobs, ATMs changed bank employees’ work mix, away from routine tasks and towards things like sales and customer service that machines could not do. The same pattern can be seen in industry after industry after the introduction of computers, says Mr Bessen: rather than destroying jobs, automation redefines them, and in ways that reduce costs and boost demand. In a recent analysis of the American workforce between 1982 and 2012, he found that employment grew significantly faster in occupations that made more use of computers, as automation sped up one aspect of a job, enabling workers to do the other parts better.
The net effect was that more computer-intensive jobs within an industry displaced less computer-intensive ones. Only manufacturing jobs expanded more slowly than the workforce did over the period of study, but that had more to do with business cycles and offshoring to China than with technology, he says. While it is easy to see fields in which automation might do away with the need for human labour, it is less obvious where technology might create new jobs. Horse-related jobs declined, but entirely new jobs were created in the motel and fast-food industries that arose to serve motorists and truck drivers. Only humans need applyThere will also be some new jobs created in the field of AI itself.
During previous waves of automation, he argues, workers could switch from one kind of routine work to another; but this time many workers will have to switch from routine, unskilled jobs to non-routine, skilled jobs to stay ahead of automation. Despite the wide range of views expressed, pretty much everyone agrees on the prescription: that companies and governments will need to make it easier for workers to acquire new skills and switch jobs as needed.
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Beck Automation AG
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